India’s AI Ambitions: Can It Catch Up in the Global Race?

The world of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is evolving rapidly, with China and the US leading the way in developing powerful AI models. Recently, China’s DeepSeek stunned the tech industry by dramatically reducing the cost of building generative AI applications. Meanwhile, India is still playing catch-up in developing its foundational AI model.

The Indian government, however, remains confident. It has announced plans to provide thousands of high-end chips to startups, universities, and researchers, aiming to develop an AI model within 10 months. But with China and the US already years ahead, the question remains: Can India close the gap in time?

Global Tech Giants Bet on India’s AI Future

India’s AI potential is not going unnoticed. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, who was once skeptical about India’s AI ambitions, now acknowledges the country’s capabilities, stating:

“India should be playing a leading role in the AI revolution.”

India is now OpenAI’s second-largest market by users, highlighting a rapid adoption of AI-driven tools.

Tech giants are also stepping in with major investments:

With over 200 AI startups, India has an active startup ecosystem working on generative AI. But despite this entrepreneurial energy, experts say India is still far behind in critical areas.

Why Is India Lagging Behind?

Limited AI Funding

While India has announced a $1 billion AI mission, this amount pales in comparison to the $500 billion investment the US has allocated for AI infrastructure (Stargate Project) and $137 billion by China.

Technology analyst Prasanto Roy points out that China and the US have a “four to five-year head-start”, thanks to massive funding in AI research, academia, and military applications.

Lack of India-Specific AI Datasets

A major roadblock for India is the lack of high-quality datasets for training AI models in local languages like Hindi, Marathi, Tamil, and Bengali. Without strong datasets, creating an India-first AI model remains a challenge.

Talent Drain & Weak Research Infrastructure

India has 15% of the world’s AI workforce, but many top Indian AI experts are moving abroad due to better research opportunities. AI consultant Jaspreet Bindra highlights a key issue:
“Foundational AI innovations typically come from deep R&D in universities and corporate research labs.”

Unlike China and the US, India’s academic institutions and corporate research labs have not yet produced groundbreaking AI innovations.

IT Sector Focused on Services, Not AI Development

India’s $200 billion IT outsourcing industry, centred in Bengaluru, employs millions of coders. However, IT companies have traditionally focused on service-based projects rather than foundational AI research.

As Prasanto Roy points out:
“It’s a huge gap which they left to the startups to fill.”

While startups are trying to bridge this gap, experts question whether they have the resources to match China’s and the US’s AI advancements.

India’s Path Forward: Can It Still Catch Up?

Leveraging Open-Source AI Models

Instead of building AI models from scratch, India can modify and improve existing open-source models like DeepSeek.

AI entrepreneur Bhavish Aggarwal, founder of Krutrim, recently wrote on X:
“India can continue to build and tweak applications upon existing open-source platforms like DeepSeek to leapfrog our own AI progress.”

Investing in Semiconductor Manufacturing

AI models require huge computational power, which means India must invest in semiconductor manufacturing. Currently, India depends on imports for AI chips, which increases costs and delays AI research.

Government-Industry Collaboration

Experts say that India’s success in digital payments through UPI (Unified Payments Interface) was possible because of strong government-industry-academia collaboration. A similar strategy is needed for AI, ensuring research, funding, and policy support AI breakthroughs.

Jaspreet Bindra warns that without sustained funding, India’s 10-month AI model deadline may not be realistic, stating:
“Despite what has been heard about DeepSeek developing a model with $5.6 million, there was much more capital behind it.”

The Race Is On, But India Must Act Fast

India has the talent, market size, and growing investment interest. But to truly compete with the US and China, it must address funding gaps, invest in research, and build AI infrastructure.

Experts agree that the next few years will determine whether India will emerge as an AI leader or continue to rely on foreign AI technology.

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Earnings Report Shock: Amazon’s Stock Plunges as AWS Growth Slows

Amazon investors had a rough day as the company’s latest earnings report failed to impress Wall Street. Shares of Amazon plunged on Thursday, as investors took the stock down after the cloud computing unit performed worse than expected along with the first-quarter revenues and profits turned out to be quite a bit lower than perceived. The stock dropped by as much as 5% in after-hours trading after the company’s fourth-quarter earnings announcement, wiping out almost $90 billion in market cap, and settled to end the day with a loss of 4.2%.

Brian Olsavsky, the CFO of Amazon, elaborated that the company is estimating its capital expenditure in 2025 to be at the same level as in the fourth quarter of the previous year, which was $26.3 billion. The company has upped its game on investments in AI, but even then, sales forecasts for the first quarter of 2025 were disappointing and failed to meet the analysts’ forecasts. The revenue guidance for Amazon was in the range of $151 to $155 billion, which is below the market expectation of $158 billion, even with the inclusion of $2 billion’s negative impact due to Leap Day.

Growth prospects and AI-Related Expenditures:

Amazon’s cloud computing arm Amazon Web Services (AWS) grew 19% year after year to $28.79 billion, not meeting the analysts’ estimates of $28.87 billion. The company has been seeing growth restrictions due to supply chain problems, such as delays in chip deliveries from third-party suppliers. According to CEO Andy Jassy, “the inconsistent flow of computer chips had held back some growth in AWS. We could be growing faster, if not for some of the capacity constraints, and they come in the form of chips from our third-party partners coming a little bit slower than before”.  A mixed narrative concerning cloud growth does not plague only Amazon, rather Microsoft and Google have experienced similar sluggishness over the past several quarters.

The massive investments in artificial intelligence and big infrastructure by the so-called Big Techs have raised the concern of investors who want to see returns from heavy AI investments. Investors turned sour as the result from Amazon was inferior following a strong third quarter, the competition in AI has become stiffer, especially with the entry of new players like China’s DeepSeek. Daniel Morgan, the senior portfolio manager at Synovus Trust said, “After very strong third-quarter numbers, this quarter the growth rates all missed. That’s what the market doesn’t want to hear. This is particularly true after the emergence of new competitors in artificial intelligence such as China’s DeepSeek”.

The Retail Business and Future AI Developments:

Amazon’s retail business extended some optimism despite the harsh environment it went through. Online expenditure grew by 7% to $75.56 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of it hitting only $74.55 billion. Advertising revenues also made a mark, climbing by 18% to $17.3 billion beneath market estimates of $17.4 billion. Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta Platforms are together likely to anticipate $230 billion in capital spending for 2025, mostly due to AI-based accomplishments. Amazon’s fourth-quarter revenue stood at $187.8 billion, edging slightly higher than expectations of $187.3 billion. Net income was nearly doubled from the previous year, hitting $20 billion compared to $10.6 billion one year ago. EPS stood at $1.86 against expectations of $1.49.

Looking ahead, Amazon remains focused on its AI plans. It featured new AI models set to attract both enterprise and consumer customers at its AWS conference in December. Amazon will roll out the much-awaited Alexa generative AI voice application after significant delays caused by quality and performance worries. On one hand, retail and advertising revenues remain strong and on the other hand, with some slowdown in cloud growth, capital expenditure concerns weigh on investor sentiment. With increased competition in AI and cloud computing, Amazon will have to show that it can convert massive investments into sustainable growth for the sake of gaining its investors’ confidence.

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